FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Valmiera / BSS
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
FK Tukums 2000
LETK
6-0
HT 3-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
FK Tukums 2000 3-2 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics
FK Tukums 2000 edged past Valmiera / BSS 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valmiera / BSS at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 41% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 59%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.94 to 2.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valmiera / BSS.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 3.17 for Valmiera / BSS.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS?
FK Tukums 2000 3-2 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 18%, draw 21%, Valmiera / BSS 61%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), BTTS No went the other way.