FK Tukums 2000 2-3 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
52%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
11%
+14.3pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.9pp
51%
Away Win
75%
-23.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 79%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.73 xG 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
211 Passes 382
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 6-1 HT 6-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
27.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
01.10.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-2 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
21.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LETK
07.07.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 6-0 HT 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
17.05.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS nicked a narrow win over FK Tukums 2000 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.67 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS?

FK Tukums 2000 2-3 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Cup on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 25%, draw 23%, Valmiera / BSS 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LETK More Latvia - Cup
14 Jul 2024
17:00 FS Jelgava vs Liepaja Analysis →