FS Jelgava 2-4 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Liepaja
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
214 Passes 342
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
23.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
07.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
22.05.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 3-2 HT 1-2 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja beat FS Jelgava 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.33 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Liepaja?

FS Jelgava 2-4 Liepaja in the Latvia - Cup on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 30%, draw 26%, Liepaja 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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