Riga FC 6-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.14
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-19.9pp
19%
Draw
9%
+10.0pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
2.64/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/2.06
+7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +62%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
45.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
29.8 Crosses 7.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Grobina
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.05 xG 0.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
496 Passes 221
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
46 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-6 HT 0-4 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
10.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
6-1
AWAY Grobina
2.79 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
539 Passes 219
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past Grobina 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Riga FC had 67% of the ball to Grobina's 33%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.79 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Riga FC and 0.00 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Grobina?

Riga FC 6-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 65%, draw 19%, Grobina 16%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LET More Latvia - Virsliga
31 Aug 2024
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