Valmiera / BSS 4-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
82%
-11.0pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.23/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.35
-2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
36.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
29.2 Crosses 13.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.03 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
395 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 3-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
01.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
10.03.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
29.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
06.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
31.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
4-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.32 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
411 Passes 255
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS swept aside Metta / LU Riga 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 59% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 41%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.32 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.17 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU Riga?

Valmiera / BSS 4-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 71%, draw 16%, Metta / LU Riga 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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31 Aug 2024
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