Kongsvinger 4-2 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.61
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.65
2-3 Goals
42%
2.03
4-5 Goals
22%
2.51
6+ Goals
9%
5.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.65 — our 27% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.6pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.89/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sogndal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2025 Sogndal Sogndal 3-3 HT 1-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOK
02.11.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
22.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
19.08.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 3-3 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
29.05.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
03.10.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
4-2
AWAY Sogndal
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger saw off Sogndal 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 57% of the ball to Sogndal's 43%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.50 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

Kongsvinger 4-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 49%, draw 26%, Sogndal 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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