Sogndal 3-3 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 7 May 2025

Sogndal
3-3 HT 1-2
Kongsvinger
📅07/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2025

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
15%
8.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.4pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sogndal v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
22.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
19.08.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 3-3 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
29.05.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
03.10.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
09.05.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 2-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal and Kongsvinger couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sogndal and 0.83 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Sogndal 3-3 Kongsvinger in the Norway - NM Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 35%, draw 22%, Kongsvinger 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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