Grorud IL 2-3 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.43
2-3 Goals
35%
2.13
4-5 Goals
34%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+2.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 71%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.17/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.54/1.05
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grorud IL
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lilleström
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2021 Grorud IL Grorud IL 2-3 HT 2-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
13.12.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 1-1 HT 0-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR1
03.07.2020 Grorud IL Grorud IL 0-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grorud IL
2-3
AWAY Lilleström
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grorud IL vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström edged past Grorud IL 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grorud IL had 42% of the ball to Lilleström's 58%, shots finished 11-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grorud IL and 1.67 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Grorud IL vs Lilleström?

Grorud IL 2-3 Lilleström in the Norway - NM Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grorud IL vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Grorud IL 24%, draw 21%, Lilleström 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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