Pors Grenland 1-3 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.53
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
20%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
14%
+9.4pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-16.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 84%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.78/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.61/0.74
+89% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +19%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 585 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pors Grenland
1-3
AWAY Fredrikstad
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad saw off Pors Grenland 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Pors Grenland had 44% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 56%, shots finished 8-24.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Fredrikstad?

Pors Grenland 1-3 Fredrikstad in the Norway - NM Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 15%, draw 23%, Fredrikstad 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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