Strommen 1-3 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.29
6+ Goals
14%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-13.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Strommen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Strommen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mjondalen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
01.06.2023 Strommen Strommen 1-3 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOK
05.08.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 1-0 Strommen Strommen NOR1
21.05.2018 Strommen Strommen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
20.08.2017 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 2-0 Strommen Strommen NOR1
02.07.2017 Strommen Strommen 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
11.09.2016 Strommen Strommen 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Strommen
1-3
AWAY Mjondalen
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Strommen vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen got the better of Strommen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mjondalen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Strommen had 42% of the ball to Mjondalen's 58%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Strommen and 1.67 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Strommen vs Mjondalen?

Strommen 1-3 Mjondalen in the Norway - NM Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Strommen vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Strommen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Strommen 37%, draw 28%, Mjondalen 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Strommen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Strommen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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