Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melgar v Sport Boys — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Sport Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melgar 2-1 Sport Boys — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (58%) came in, no to both teams scoring (55%) didn't.
The match data tells the story: Melgar had 62% of the ball to Sport Boys's 38%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 1.66 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Melgar's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melgar and 0.17 for Sport Boys.
Melgar vs Sport Boys Result & Final Score
Melgar 2 - 1 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Melgar 78%, draw 14%, Sport Boys 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.