Sport Boys 0-2 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 51%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.93/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.82
-26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.1 Crosses 20.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Melgar
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.45 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
238 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
31.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
12.05.2023 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
20.10.2022 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
19.06.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER
26.09.2021 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
0-2
AWAY Melgar
0.96 xG 3.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
316 Passes 175
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar beat Sport Boys 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Melgar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sport Boys had 61% of the ball to Melgar's 39%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.96 to 3.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sport Boys and 1.83 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Melgar?

Sport Boys 0-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 27%, draw 33%, Melgar 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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