Sport Huancayo 1-3 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.55
+1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.8 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
324 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
25.09.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
06.05.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
17.07.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
13.02.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-4 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
02.02.2020 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-3
AWAY Atletico Grau
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
366 Passes 213
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau saw off Sport Huancayo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Atletico Grau made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 62% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 38%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sport Huancayo and 0.67 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau?

Sport Huancayo 1-3 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 38%, draw 27%, Atletico Grau 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sport Huancayo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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