İspanya U21 2-1 Romanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.62/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.06
+4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.1 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Romanya U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.51 xG 0.30
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
624 Passes 180
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2023 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 0-3 HT 0-0 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 Avrupa - UEFA U21 Şampiyonası
21.03.2019 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 1-0 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 Dünya - U21 Hazırlık Maçları Ülkeler
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya U21
2-1
AWAY Romanya U21
3.03 xG 1.38
75% Ball Possession 25%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
515 Passes 131
90% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 13
42 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İspanya U21 vs Romanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U21 edged past Romanya U21 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İspanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, İspanya U21 had 75% of the ball to Romanya U21's 25%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 3.03 to 1.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İspanya U21's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İspanya U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İspanya U21 and 0.00 for Romanya U21.

What was the final score of İspanya U21 vs Romanya U21?

İspanya U21 2-1 Romanya U21 in the European U21 on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U21 vs Romanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split İspanya U21 54%, draw 26%, Romanya U21 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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