Fransa U21 3-2 Gürcistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.4pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.60/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.57
+8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
468 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
10.0 Crosses 9.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gürcistan U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
04.09.2020 Gürcistan U21 Gürcistan U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
15.11.2019 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 3-2 HT 1-0 Gürcistan U21 Gürcistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U21
3-2
AWAY Gürcistan U21
3.18 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransa U21 vs Gürcistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U21 squeezed past Gürcistan U21 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fransa U21 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fransa U21 had 60% of the ball to Gürcistan U21's 40%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.18 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fransa U21's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fransa U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fransa U21 and 1.00 for Gürcistan U21.

What was the final score of Fransa U21 vs Gürcistan U21?

Fransa U21 3-2 Gürcistan U21 in the European U21 on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U21 vs Gürcistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fransa U21 56%, draw 27%, Gürcistan U21 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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