Portekiz U21 5-0 Polonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.06/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.12
+41% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U21
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Polonya U21
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
20.11.2018 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 1-3 HT 0-3 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 U21
16.11.2018 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 U21
10.09.2012 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 U21
06.10.2011 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 1-1 HT 1-1 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U21
5-0
AWAY Polonya U21
1.67 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
512 Passes 373
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portekiz U21 vs Polonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U21 ran out comfortable winners over Polonya U21 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Portekiz U21 had 56% of the ball to Polonya U21's 44%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.67 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Portekiz U21 and 1.00 for Polonya U21.

What was the final score of Portekiz U21 vs Polonya U21?

Portekiz U21 5-0 Polonya U21 in the European U21 on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U21 vs Polonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U21 49%, draw 21%, Polonya U21 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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