Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuiaba v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BRVK
0-2
HT 0-2
Cuiaba
BRVK
3-0
HT 2-0
Cuiaba
BRVK
1-2
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Cuiaba squeezed past Vila Nova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Cuiaba had 51% of the ball to Vila Nova's 49%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.77 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cuiaba and 1.33 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Vila Nova?
Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 48%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.