Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cuiaba v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Cuiaba shaded a tight game against Vila Nova 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Cuiaba's favour, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.77 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Cuiaba against 1.33 for Vila Nova.
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Result & Final Score
Cuiaba 1 - 0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 46%, draw 33%, Vila Nova 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.