Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vila Nova v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vila Nova 2-2 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left Vila Nova and Cuiaba with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Cuiaba saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.54 to 2.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Vila Nova against 0.83 for Cuiaba.
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Result & Final Score
Vila Nova 2 - 2 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 38%, draw 35%, Cuiaba 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.