Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BRVK
0-2
HT 0-2
Cuiaba
BRVK
3-0
HT 2-0
Cuiaba
BRVK
1-2
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
BR2
Vila Nova 2-2 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova and Cuiaba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vila Nova had 45% of the ball to Cuiaba's 55%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.54 to 2.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 0.83 for Cuiaba.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Cuiaba?
Vila Nova 2-2 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Cuiaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 42%, draw 30%, Cuiaba 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.