CRB 3-2 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.55
+4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.0 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
353 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
25.09.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
18.07.2024 CRB CRB 4-1 HT 2-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
05.08.2023 CRB CRB 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
29.04.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
21.12.2020 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
3-2
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.13 xG 0.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
510 Passes 280
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CRB vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB nicked a narrow win over Botafogo SP 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 63% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 37%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.13 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CRB's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 0.83 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of CRB vs Botafogo SP?

CRB 3-2 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CRB 56%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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