Operario PR 2-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 18%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.69/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.26
-14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
26.5 Crosses 11.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Amazonas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 269
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Amazonas Amazonas 2-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
19.09.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 2-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
04.06.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 1-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
21.05.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 2-2 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
2-1
AWAY Amazonas
0.66 xG 0.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
349 Passes 213
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR edged past Amazonas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Operario PR as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Operario PR had 60% of the ball to Amazonas's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amazonas led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Operario PR and 1.50 for Amazonas.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Amazonas?

Operario PR 2-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 55%, draw 28%, Amazonas 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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