Amazonas 2-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
7.49
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.6pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 25%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.32
-19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
27.6 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
204 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 1-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
21.05.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 2-2 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
2-1
AWAY Operario PR
1.64 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
387 Passes 171
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas edged past Operario PR 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amazonas had 64% of the ball to Operario PR's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.64 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amazonas and 1.50 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Operario PR?

Amazonas 2-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 45%, draw 32%, Operario PR 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amazonas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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