Sport Recife 1-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Sep 2024

Sport Recife
1-1 HT 1-1
Goias
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Sport Recife vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
55%
-11.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sport Recife v Goias — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.15/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
22.1 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sport Recife vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Goias
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
436 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.06.2024 Goias Goias 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
27.12.2020 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
07.09.2020 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
11.09.2015 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
05.06.2015 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
23.10.2014 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1

Sport Recife 1-1 Goias — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
1-1
AWAY Goias
2.65 xG 0.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
264 Passes 212
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Recife and Goias couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Sport Recife had 55% of the ball to Goias's 45%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.65 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sport Recife and 1.17 for Goias.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Goias?

Sport Recife 1-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 43%, draw 29%, Goias 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Recife), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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