Agropecuario Argentino 3-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.41
Over 2.5
28%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
72%
Under 2.5
67%
+4.6pp
28%
Over 2.5
33%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.4pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.38/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
25.02.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
10.06.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
06.02.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
17.08.2022 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino beat Club Atletico Guemes 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) promised a tight game; Agropecuario Argentino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 0.25 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Agropecuario Argentino 3-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 40%, draw 36%, Club Atletico Guemes 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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