Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.11/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.23
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
28.02.2024 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
06.09.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
23.04.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi squeezed past Atletico Atlanta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Aldosivi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 0.33 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Atlanta?

Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 44%, draw 30%, Atletico Atlanta 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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