Nueva Chicago 0-3 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jul 2024

Nueva Chicago
0-3 HT 0-1
San Telmo
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs San Telmo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v San Telmo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.10/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Nueva Chicago vs San Telmo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
2W-1D-1L
AWAY San Telmo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
25.02.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
08.07.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 0-2 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
04.03.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
05.06.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 1-1 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo swept aside Nueva Chicago 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; San Telmo found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.50 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs San Telmo?

Nueva Chicago 0-3 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 39%, draw 28%, San Telmo 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nueva Chicago), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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