Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.4pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.12/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.25
-13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
17.04.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-3 HT 0-2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
16.09.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
07.05.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
02.07.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-2 HT 2-2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
05.10.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
11.06.2021 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown squeezed past Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 0.50 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Almirante Brown?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 44%, draw 28%, Almirante Brown 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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