San Telmo 1-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.41
Over 2.5
31%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.7pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.11/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.04
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
08.07.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 0-2 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
04.03.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
05.06.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 1-1 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Telmo
1-0
AWAY Nueva Chicago
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo squeezed past Nueva Chicago 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day San Telmo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, San Telmo had 52% of the ball to Nueva Chicago's 48%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for San Telmo and 1.67 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago?

San Telmo 1-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 36%, draw 31%, Nueva Chicago 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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