Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
03.12.2018 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1-1
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Arsenal Sarandi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ferro Carril Oeste had 48% of the ball to Arsenal Sarandi's 52%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 39%, draw 30%, Arsenal Sarandi 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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