Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.21/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.43
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
26.02.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-1 HT 2-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
09.10.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-1 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
17.06.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
11.10.2015 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
1-0
AWAY Guillermo Brown
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy nicked a narrow win over Guillermo Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Jujuy as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia Jujuy had 53% of the ball to Guillermo Brown's 47%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 0.50 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Guillermo Brown?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 51%, draw 29%, Guillermo Brown 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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