ML Rogachev vs Naftan Novopolotsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ML Rogachev v Naftan Novopolotsk — Team-Based Signals
ML Rogachev 2-1 Naftan Novopolotsk — Actual Match Statistics
ML Rogachev edged past Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; ML Rogachev found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, ML Rogachev had 56% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 44%, shots finished 22-9.
What was the final score of ML Rogachev vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
ML Rogachev 2-1 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Cup on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ML Rogachev vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
Before kick-off our model rated a ML Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ML Rogachev 40%, draw 25%, Naftan Novopolotsk 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Rogachev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.