Orsha 0-3 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
63%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+6.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
63%
Away Win
72%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 77%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
170 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Orsha Orsha 1-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
03.10.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-2 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
18.07.2021 Orsha Orsha 2-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
02.05.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
25.10.2020 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
28.06.2020 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
0-3
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk ran out comfortable winners over Orsha 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Orsha had 37% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 63%, shots finished 10-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orsha and 2.17 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Orsha 0-3 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Cup on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Orsha 17%, draw 20%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 63%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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