NFK Minsk 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
59%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
59%
Away Win
67%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NFK Minsk EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 71%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.66/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.19/0.14
-22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NFK Minsk
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2021 NFK Minsk NFK Minsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
14.08.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-2 HT 2-2 NFK Minsk NFK Minsk BLR1
21.05.2021 NFK Minsk NFK Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NFK Minsk
0-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NFK Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev edged past NFK Minsk 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Mogilev as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NFK Minsk had 51% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 49%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NFK Minsk had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NFK Minsk and 1.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of NFK Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

NFK Minsk 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Cup on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NFK Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split NFK Minsk 21%, draw 21%, Dnepr Mogilev 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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