Atletico Paranaense 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-15.7pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ypiranga Erechim EU Bookmakers 9%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.80/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/2.30
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +12%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
463 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 71%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 1.0
33.0 Crosses 10.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ypiranga Erechim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.34 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2024 Ypiranga Erechim Ypiranga Erechim 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Ypiranga Erechim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense swept aside Ypiranga Erechim 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Ypiranga Erechim?

Atletico Paranaense 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim in the Brazil - Cup on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Ypiranga Erechim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 61%, draw 22%, Ypiranga Erechim 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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