Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.57/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.36
+11% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
12.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
14.05.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
02.10.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 4-0 HT 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
20.03.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-0
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Giravanz Kitakyushu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 50% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.00 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 42%, draw 26%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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