Alianza Atletico 0-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Jul 2024

Alianza Atletico
0-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2024

Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Atletico v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.37/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.50
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
14.8 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Grau
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.44 xG 1.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
159 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
08.10.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
27.05.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
09.10.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
22.05.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-2 HT 1-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico and Atletico Grau fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.20 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?

Alianza Atletico 0-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 38%, draw 25%, Atletico Grau 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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