Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Grau v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
Atletico Grau
PER
4-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Atletico
PER
Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Grau and Alianza Atletico couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Grau had 61% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 39%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.42 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Atletico Grau and 2.50 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?
Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 46%, draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.