Cienciano 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+14.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-14.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.03/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.55 xG 0.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
209 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 4
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Comerciantes Unidos 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Cienciano had 44% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 56%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.55 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cienciano's control.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cienciano 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 50%, draw 26%, Comerciantes Unidos 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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