Sport Huancayo 1-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.0pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.99/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.79
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
24.9 Crosses 13.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
04.06.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
29.10.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
03.07.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-3 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
29.08.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 1-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
23.05.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-0
AWAY Sport Boys
1.46 xG 0.48
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
466 Passes 185
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Huancayo squeezed past Sport Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sport Huancayo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 68% of the ball to Sport Boys's 32%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.46 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.00 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys?

Sport Huancayo 1-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 56%, draw 28%, Sport Boys 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Huancayo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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