Pinellas County 0-1 Sarasota Paradise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.2pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.6pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pinellas County EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pinellas County
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sarasota Paradise
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.07.2023 Pinellas County 3-3 Sarasota Paradise Sarasota Paradise USL2
02.07.2023 Sarasota Paradise Sarasota Paradise 1-0 HT 0-0 Pinellas County USL2
POST-MATCH Pinellas County vs Sarasota Paradise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarasota Paradise squeezed past Pinellas County 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sarasota Paradise as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sarasota Paradise led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pinellas County and 2.00 for Sarasota Paradise.

What was the final score of Pinellas County vs Sarasota Paradise?

Pinellas County 0-1 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pinellas County vs Sarasota Paradise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pinellas County 27%, draw 18%, Sarasota Paradise 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarasota Paradise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL2 More USA - USL League 2
14 Jul 2024
00:00 Seacoast United Phantoms vs Blackwatch Rush Analysis →
00:00 Project 51O vs Marin Analysis →
01:00 Buffalo vs Dayton Dutch Lions Analysis →
02:00 Carolina Dynamo vs Charlotte Eagles Analysis →
02:00 Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Analysis →
02:30 Westchester Flames vs Cedar Stars Rush Analysis →