Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Patuxent v Northern Virginia — Team-Based Signals
Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Patuxent overpowered Northern Virginia 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Northern Virginia at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (64%) landed.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Patuxent and 1.50 for Northern Virginia.
Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Result & Final Score
Patuxent 5 - 1 Northern Virginia in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Patuxent 16%, draw 16%, Northern Virginia 68%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northern Virginia) went the other way.