Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Patuxent v Northern Virginia — Team-Based Signals
Patuxent vs Northern Virginia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Patuxent
USL2
Patuxent swept aside Northern Virginia 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Northern Virginia at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Patuxent and 1.50 for Northern Virginia.
What was the final score of Patuxent vs Northern Virginia?
Patuxent 5-1 Northern Virginia in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Patuxent vs Northern Virginia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Patuxent 20%, draw 18%, Northern Virginia 62%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northern Virginia) went the other way.