14/07/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Project 51O vs Marin Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
25%
Draw
21%
27%
Away Win
22%
33%
Under 2.5
30%
67%
Over 2.5
70%
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
39%
BTTS No
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Project 51O v Marin — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Project 51O
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marin
EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% /
-13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-37% /
-37%
1.44/1.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.79/2.21
-31%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-41%
/
-11%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
325 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Project 51O vs Marin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Project 51O
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Marin
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
21.05.2023
Project 51O
3-2
HT 2-0
Marin
USL2
3-2
HT 2-0
Marin
USL2
POST-MATCH
Project 51O vs Marin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Project 51O swept aside Marin 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Project 51O as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Project 51O vs Marin?
Project 51O 4-0 Marin in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Project 51O vs Marin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Project 51O win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Project 51O 48%, draw 25%, Marin 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Project 51O), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Project 51O)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
14 Jul 2024