Project 51O 4-0 Marin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.9pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Project 51O EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marin EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.44/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.21
-31% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Project 51O
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.05.2023 Project 51O Project 51O 3-2 HT 2-0 Marin Marin USL2
POST-MATCH Project 51O vs Marin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Project 51O swept aside Marin 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Project 51O as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Project 51O vs Marin?

Project 51O 4-0 Marin in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Project 51O vs Marin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Project 51O win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Project 51O 48%, draw 25%, Marin 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Project 51O), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Project 51O) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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