IK Sirius 1-2 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 14 Jul 2025

IK Sirius
1-2 HT 0-2
Mjallby
📅14/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.75
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
9%
5.98
X/2
14%
5.9
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
21%
3.68
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.63/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.16
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.3 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

IK Sirius vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
433 Passes 307
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.07.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
24.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 1-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇK
31.07.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ

IK Sirius 1-2 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
1-2
AWAY Mjallby
2.06 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
461 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby squeezed past IK Sirius 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.06 to 0.94 — on chances, IK Sirius could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IK Sirius and 2.33 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Mjallby?

IK Sirius 1-2 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 34%, draw 25%, Mjallby 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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