St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Louis City v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Louis City 2-1 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City squeezed past Portland Timbers 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had St. Louis City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) came home.
Under the surface, St. Louis City had 53% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 47%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.08 to 1.26.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Louis City and 1.67 for Portland Timbers.
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Result & Final Score
St. Louis City 2 - 1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 48%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.