FC Lahti 2-2 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.32
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +41%
2.33/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.49
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
2W-3D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
29.03.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
23.10.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
20.10.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
17.09.2020 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
25.07.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
2-2
AWAY TPS Turku
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti and TPS Turku shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Lahti at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 51% of the ball to TPS Turku's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Lahti and 1.50 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs TPS Turku?

FC Lahti 2-2 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 47%, draw 29%, TPS Turku 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Lahti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →