Fas 3-1 Zambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 14 Aug 2025

Fas
3-1 HT 1-0
Zambiya
📅14/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.5pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Zambiya EU Bookmakers 11%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.06/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.13
-56% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / -46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
22.3 Crosses 11.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Zambiya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.55 xG 0.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
477 Passes 259
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2024 Fas Fas 2-1 HT 1-0 Zambiya Zambiya DKE
24.01.2024 Zambiya Zambiya 0-1 HT 0-1 Fas Fas AFUK
31.01.2021 Fas Fas 3-1 HT 3-0 Zambiya Zambiya AUŞ
16.06.2019 Fas Fas 2-3 HT 1-2 Zambiya Zambiya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
3-1
AWAY Zambiya
2.35 xG 0.98
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
405 Passes 213
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fas vs Zambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas got the better of Zambiya 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fas had 63% of the ball to Zambiya's 37%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.35 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fas and 1.25 for Zambiya.

What was the final score of Fas vs Zambiya?

Fas 3-1 Zambiya in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 14/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs Zambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Fas 68%, draw 21%, Zambiya 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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