Fas vs Zambiya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fas v Zambiya — Team-Based Signals
Fas vs Zambiya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-0
Zambiya
AUŞ
2-3
HT 1-2
Zambiya
HAZ
Fas 2-1 Zambiya — Actual Match Statistics
Fas edged past Zambiya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fas had 65% of the ball to Zambiya's 35%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.91 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fas's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fas and 1.33 for Zambiya.
What was the final score of Fas vs Zambiya?
Fas 2-1 Zambiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fas vs Zambiya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Fas 68%, draw 18%, Zambiya 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.