Haiti vs St. Lucia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haiti v St. Lucia — Team-Based Signals
Haiti 2-1 St. Lucia — Actual Match Statistics
Haiti squeezed past St. Lucia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haiti as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Haiti had 65% of the ball to St. Lucia's 35%, shots finished 33-3, expected goals 2.81 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Haiti's control.
What was the final score of Haiti vs St. Lucia?
Haiti 2-1 St. Lucia in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haiti vs St. Lucia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Haiti 58%, draw 22%, St. Lucia 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.