Zimbabve 0-2 Lesotho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbabve EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lesotho EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbabve
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lesotho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
355 Passes 161
78% Pass Accuracy 61%
31 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2022 Lesotho Lesotho 2-1 HT 1-1 Zimbabve Zimbabve Afrika Uluslar Kupası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbabve
0-2
AWAY Lesotho
61% Ball Possession 39%
31 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zimbabve vs Lesotho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lesotho got the better of Zimbabve 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zimbabve at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zimbabve had 61% of the ball to Lesotho's 39%, shots finished 31-7.

What was the final score of Zimbabve vs Lesotho?

Zimbabve 0-2 Lesotho in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbabve vs Lesotho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbabve win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zimbabve 50%, draw 30%, Lesotho 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zimbabve) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zimbabve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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