Uganda 1-0 Botsvana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.65
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Botsvana EU Bookmakers 24%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/1.07
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botsvana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.06.2015 Uganda Uganda 2-0 HT 0-0 Botsvana Botsvana AFR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda
1-0
AWAY Botsvana
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uganda vs Botsvana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda edged past Botsvana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uganda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uganda had 64% of the ball to Botsvana's 36%, shots finished 13-1.

What was the final score of Uganda vs Botsvana?

Uganda 1-0 Botsvana in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda vs Botsvana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Uganda 44%, draw 25%, Botsvana 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uganda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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