Madagaskar 2-1 Komorlar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.41
Over 2.5
46%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.56
6+ Goals
12%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.4pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
67%
-13.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
33%
+13.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Komorlar EU Bookmakers 43%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madagaskar
2-1
AWAY Komorlar
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madagaskar vs Komorlar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar squeezed past Komorlar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Komorlar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Madagaskar had 44% of the ball to Komorlar's 56%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Komorlar?

Madagaskar 2-1 Komorlar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Komorlar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Komorlar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 30%, draw 24%, Komorlar 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Komorlar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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